Saturday 21st March 2015

Selections Summary

3.20 Gowran Park
Malt Gem 0.5pts win 10/1

3.35 Bangor
Al Co 0.25pts ew 20/1

2.35 Newbury
Tara Mist 0.5pts win 10/1

3.45 Newbury
Golden Doyen 0.5pts win 9/1

Friday 20th March 2015 - Results Update and Cheltenham Review

Results Update

Sat 22 Feb 2015
Staked = 2.25pts  Returns = 0  Daily P&L = (2.25)Pts 
Running P&L = (2.25)Pts

Sat 7 Mar 2015
Staked = 1.66pts Returns = 0 P&L = (1.66)Pts
Running P&L = (3.91)Pts

Tues 10 Mar 2015
Staked = 6.41pts Returns = 2.64Pts  P&L = (3.77)Pts
Running P&L = (7.68)Pts

Weds 11 Mar 2015
Staked = 6.66pts Returns = 15.21Pts  P&L = 8.55Pts
Running P&L = 0.87Pts

Thu 12 Mar 2015
Staked = 6.08pts Returns = 1.81Pts  P&L = (4.27)Pts
Running P&L = (3.40)Pts

Fri 13 Mar 2015
Staked = 7.33pts Returns = 6.45Pts  P&L = (0.88)Pts
Running P&L = (4.28)Pts

Cheltenham Review

I feel a tad unlucky to be coming out of the festival staring at a loss.  I'll accept that plenty of selections were advised and that obviously dilutes the profits / increases the losses.  However I had numerous places to suggest I was only one or two results away from going my way and a profit would have been secured.  I'm happy enough with my approach to the big festivals, the racing is so competitive that value selections are plentiful at decent odds and it's relatively easy to get on with various bookies in solid markets.

To begin with the wins....the biggest priced winner at 28/1 was Qualando in the Fred Winter.  I thought he fitted the trends fairly neatly and was overpriced accordingly.  He stuck on gamely and looks the type to improve when going chasing.

I also struck with Martello Tower in the Albert Bartlett (nice BOG drift from 10/1 to 14/1) and Windsor Park (5/1) in the Neptune.  3 winners in 4 days makes it a long week but we are betting at big odds so longish losing streaks are to be expected.  That's why I don't mind betting a few selections in one race.  If the hard work has been put in to study the race and the value is there I don't mind betting more than one selection. Winning selections breed confidence, and confidence is a key attribute when betting against the crowd on the longer shots.

Onto the places....and there's plenty...some were not beat far, others never really look like winning in all honesty.

Some honourable mentions then....

Shaneshill 2nd (12/1)
Josses Hill 3rd (14/1)
Grand Jesture 2nd (28/1)
Horizontal Speed 4th (16/1)
Zabana 2nd (33/1)
Rawnaq 3rd (25/1)
Noble Endeavour 2nd (20/1)
Sort It Out 2nd (14/1)

And a few others too......!  I'd say Zabana in Coral Cup was the most frustrating, he ran a cracker to be 2nd and I was on him win only!!

Onto tomorrow...I'll update the blog in the morning if there are any selections.

Friday 13th March 2015

1.30

Petite Parisienne 0.50pts win 11/1

Top Notch 0.50pts win 8/1 (2nd)

 

2.05

Sort It Out 0.50pts win 14/1 (2nd)

Aso 0.25pts ew 50/1

 

2.40

Definitly Red 0.33pts win 33/1

Martello Tower 0.33pts win 10/1 (WON @ 14/1)

Caracci Apache 0.33pts win 16/1

 

3.20

Road to Riches 0.5pts win 12/1

Sam Winner 0.25pts ew 25/1

 

4.00

No Loose Change 0.25pts ew 20/1

Seventh Sign 0.25pts ew 20/1

 

4.40

Noble Endeavour 0.25pts ew 20/1 (2nd)

MacNicholson 0.25pts ew 28/1

Forthefunofit 0.25pts win 16/1

 

5.20

Blood Cotil 0.5pts win 9/1

Bold Henry 0.25pts win 25/1

Bellenos 0.33pts win 25/1

Thursday 12th March 2015

1.30

Apache Stronghold 0.50pts win 11/2

 

2.05

               

Trustan Times 0.33pts win 20/1

Sybarite 0.33pts win 20/1

The Tourard Man 0.33pts win 25/1

Knight of Noir 0.33pts win 25/1

 

2.40       

Taquin Du Seuil 0.33pts win 12/1

Johns Spirit 0.33pts win 10/1

 

3.20       

Whisper 0.66pts win 10/1

Saphir Du Rheu 0.33pts win 13/2 (2nd)

 

4.00

Rawnaq 0.25pts ew 25/1 (3rd)

Bally Legend 0.25pts ew 33/1

Buywise 0.25pts win 10/1 (4th)

 

4.40

Benbens 0.33pts win BFSP

The Ould Lad 0.33pts win BFSP

Sixty Something 0.33pts win BFSP

Clondaw Knight 0.33pts win 20/1

 

Wednesday 11th March 2015

1.30

Windsor Park 0.50pts win 5/1 (WON)

Outlander 0.50pts win 9/2

 

2.05

               

Southfield Theatre 0.33pts win 15/2

Wounded Warrior 0.66pts win 14/1

 

2.40       

Zabana 0.25pts win 33/1 (2nd)

Blackmail 0.25pts win 20/1          

Hammersly Lake 0.50pts win 20/1

Marinero 0.25pts win 14/1

Baradari 0.25pts win 16/1

 

3.20       

Sprinter Sacre 0.66pts win 4/1

 

4.00

Quantitativeeasing 0.50pts win 10/1

 

4.40

Qualando 0.33pts ew 28/1 (WON)

Zarib 0.66pts win 12/1

 

5.15       

General Principle 0.33pts win 14/1

Supasundae 0.33pts win 12/1

Stone Hard 0.33pts win 16/1

 

Tuesday 10th March 2015

1.30

Shaneshill  0.5pts win 12/1 (2nd)
Qewy 0.33pts win 14/1

2.05

Josses Hill 0.66pts win 14/1 (3rd)

2.40

Ned Stark 0.33pts win 9/1
Gallant Oscar 0.66pts win 12/1 (3rd)
Grand Jesture 0.33pts ew 28/1 (2nd)

3.20

The New One 0.66pts win 5/1

4.00

Carole’s Spirit 0.33pts win 20/1
L’Unique 0.33pts win 20/1

4.40

Thunder and Roses 0.5pts win 25/1
Ballyculla 0.25pts ew 66/1

5.20

Generous Ransom 0.25pts win 9/1 (3rd)

Horizontal Speed 0.5pts win 16/1 (4th)
Cold March 0.25pts ew 40/1

Saturday 7th March 2015

Minimal time this morning so straight to the action.

3.10 Sandown

A fiercely competive handicap hurdle I've picked out two fancies.  Thistlecrack showed a sparkling turn of foot to win nicely at Ascot last time.  I'm hopeful with a decent pace he'll come there fast and late up the Sandown hill.  I think a stiff 2m will be ideal for him.  My second pick is Meadowcroft Boy.  He ran an eyecatching race at Musselburgh two runs ago.  I'm prepared to forgive a slightly below par run last time at Kelso.  Again I think a fast pace and stiff track will play to his strengths. It's not often A Whillans send one this far south and Jamie Moore is an interesting jockey booking.

 

4.00 Wolverhampton

A tricky handicap but I think Mappin Time is overpriced at 12/1.  He beat Basil Berry last time and is only a lbs worse off versus the 2nd favourite.  Mappin Time goes well at the track, has won in class 2, has a fair draw and his trainer Tim Easterby is in very good form.


Selections Summary

3.10 Sandown
Thistlecrack 0.50 pts win 14/1 (5th)

Meadowcroft Boy 0.33 pts e/w 40/1 5 places (PU)

4.00 Wolves
Mappin Time 0.50 pts win 12/1 (10th)